In a global tug of war, the COVID-19 pandemic has added a new dimension to the global strategic balance and triggered a chain of events in the struggle for global strategic dominance, besides causing tremendous human suffering. Previously, in order for a conflict to be called a war, the use of military force and a declaration of war were considered basic necessities. War was defined as a condition under which a state prosecuted its perceived right by force. Similarly, a world war is one that involves countries all over the world.
War usually causes(Ms.Crawford) causes disease or brings disease in its wake. You think about 700 years ago with the Bubonic plague being transmitted in part by soldiers and traders and I think about the new transmission of Cholera to Haiti, following the UN (United Nations) peacekeeping interventions. I also think about mass movements of people in their concentration and refugee camps is an incubator for disease.
And we have seen this, for instance, on an island of Lesbos where Syrian refugees have now overwhelmed the capacity of the refugee system. 3000 were supposed to be in a camp that now houses 20 000. For me, usually the arrows go another way, so it is an intriguing question to think about how could war be affected by CoVid-19, which is not transmitted by war, the usual vector. And I think many futures are possible.
In one future, it is essentially, the world tries to go back to business as usual. That would mean that the great power- United States and its rivals tries to have the resources that it can to continue their competition. But I don’t think business as usual will be the result as much as countries want that. What I think is more likely, is that they will be a tension. The kind of tension after World War I, when the starvation blockades made the influenza outbreak much worse for people and then in the aftermath States had to decide.
It is whether they were going to put their resources into rebuilding their military forces or turning inward. But I think what will happen in the US case is that the US will likely may have to make some choices about, whether it wants to try to maintain its hegemonic position with high levels of military spending, which drains its infrastructure and public health capacity. This is the time, if anytime, in the last 20-30 years when that might happen. In other words, there are certain openings in the life of the great power where it reconsiders its military doctrine, great strategy and this may be one of them.
Well, usually it is a military shock that causes a great power to reconsider its approach to the world, its Grand Strategy. I think that it is less likely than I would like that the US will reconsider its great power position in the wake of Covid-19. The way that the American people and I think most elites have framed this, is that this is a mobilization of sort of a war level and we are going to respond with military metaphors.
The mobilization of resources including economic resources as a sort of war model and that kind of valorizes and keeps you and keeps you in the same track of military solutions are the best solutions. Efficient, effective, cheap. The second reason is that when great powers are insecure they tend to cling to their doctrines. But that said, I think that there is a possibility that the economic realities that all great powers face will come into play.
If the climate could not make us understand the tremendous waste that the preparation for war and fighting of it poses. Then I don’t think the Covid-19 will help us realize that we live in an interdependent world where there are important challenges that cannot be solved by either the preparation for war or the use of military force.
On the other hand, I would say the last 30 years we have also seen а Blessed unrest and that there are movements across the world which have been articulating with a cosmopolitan perspective.
Relationships between humans being more important than national boundaries or borders for thinking of themselves as members of the same species living in the same small planet.
So, at the same time that there is a sort of nationalist narrative of race walls, husband resources. There are these other movements, social movements, who are thinking on broader terms and it think that this maybe a way for those voices to become more part of the dialogue.
What will the world look like after COVID-19? Many of the problems we will face in the next decade will simply be more extreme versions of those that we already confront today. The world will only look significantly different this time if, as we emerge from this crisis, we decide to take action to resolve these problems and bring about fundamental change. War is no exception, it will change it will shift, decisions have to be made, and we can hope that there will not be another World War right after Coronavirus.
MVS Pharma GmbH is an innovative pharmaceutical start-up company, which researches in the area of reducing viruses and bacteria with plant-based aerosols. Their special formula ensures the purity and the stability of the used ingredients during storage.
Aleksandar Videv is an article writer, who explores the scientific and fictional ideas about future with/or after Covid-19…. and the possibilities for producing aerosols made out of plants against respiratory viruses and bacteria.
Keywords : #war #preparation #virus #bacteria #MVSPharma #future #anticipation #speculation #fight #doctrine #pandemic